Online casino games are all about probabilities, but I’m using the term loosely. In reality a probability chart is not a very helpful tool for most gamblers. That is because probabilities feel too much like predictions and when I base my decisions on my belief that the probability chart favors me, my decisions are defective.
When I play the probabilities I have to look at the wins to losses ratio and calculate the cost of each bet. My best case situation assumes me win the maximum on every winning game. My worst case scenario assumes me break even or wins the minimum (which could be less than my bet) on every winning game.
There are methods to maximize the chances of winning with minimum losses when I gamble. Sometimes those probability charts help me to make good choices but sometimes are just an interruption. I cannot use probability distributions to calculate what the next outcome of a game will be.
Some Strategies to Maximize the Chances of Winning
- Be the Dealer
The games are designed to favor the house, so if I want to be on the winning side of an online casino game more often than not, get a job as a dealer. This is a con choice because I’m not gambling with my own money; I’m just earning a salary and hoping to make some tips. Casino dealers are treated as exciting people, and in some casinos the dealers have to dress up in sexy wear.
But, in reality, dealers don’t get rich by gambling.
Still, if I prefer winning then the dealer has the best possibility of winning.
- Create a betting pool with friends
This is not a betting group. A betting group is more than a betting pool. With a betting pool I and my friends select a designated player for each game. I’m risking a smaller percentage of my money. I split the winnings after each game and share in the losses automatically.
- Play games with big win to bet ratios
This is counter-intuitive to everything I have learned about gambling. But we’re not talking about picking 10 numbers in keno here. The math in lottery style games is pretty simple: The larger the payoff I’m chasing the classier it is to play that game.
That is why I don’t want to bet on a single number in roulette. The big payoff sounds great when it happens, but getting to the big payoff is expensive.
- Play against a less experienced dealer
This is great when I can identify that one dealer is less practiced than the others close by, but it doesn’t always happen. Worse, any dealer who doesn’t rapidly get better their game probably won’t last long.
Watch the tables for a while and pay attention to how often the players win and lose. If a dealer seems to be really hot or lucky, maybe he’s not so hot or lucky. Maybe he’s just a really good dealer. That’s not supposed to happen, but I do hear stories. And when I see player after player lose their money at the same table you should be asking how the dealer is “beating the probabilities” so time after time.
The secret to playing less experienced dealers is that they are flat to making more mistakes. Mistakes take the border off my game. Casino websites, as well as real casinos, count on players making mistakes, and they set their rules to minimize the potential for mistakes by their employees.
Gamblers most likely to make money against less experienced dealers may not be playing honestly. But this is an alternative for improving your chances of winning.
- Only play truly random progressive games
If I have to bet more to be qualified for a progressive jackpot, I’ll not bet more. Simply being qualified for a progressive jackpot does not offer enough return on investment. The win to bet ratio declines as you increase your wagers.
Some slot games pay better percentages when I bet more. The higher payouts or more recurrent payouts are an incentive to keep players gambling. If the percentage raise is important enough, it may be valuable to make the maximum allowed bet, but more often than not I am just throwing money away.
A truly random progressive jackpot is awarded regardless of how much I bet. These kinds of jackpots are less common, although I may be able to win local progressives on less than max bets when I play games that offer numerous progressive levels.
- Only play with casino money
Some players love those “no deposit” bonuses offered by online casinos. Those risk nothing and might win something with $20-$25 in casino money. The play through terms and withdrawal limits might seem horrible.
But take the long-term vision. I only need to keep as much money as the casino gives me until I can roll it up.
Just being able to play for real money with someone else’s cash is a win. I have a chance to claim that money later. What the casino counts on is giving in to temptation. They want me to make big bets so I’ll lose the money as fast as possible (without becoming disheartened) and start making deposits.
There is no way to guarantee I’ll win enough to keep the casino credit, but I have the option of trying.
On the other hand, suppose I have $500 for a deposit and the casino offers a 100% match. If they’ll loan me $500, and I can roll that up before I touch my own money, I’ll eventually be able to withdraw my deposit and keep playing. That’s a risk the casino is willing to take and, again, it’s because they are counting on the players to make bad choices.